EU-MED AGPOL Impacts of agricultural trade liberalization between the EU and Mediterranean countries



Project presentation


The overall objective of this project is to estimate and describe the impacts on European countries of agricultural trade liberalization in the Mediterranean region.

The major changes to be expected are increased EU imports of fruits, vegetables and olive oil and increased EU exports to non-EU Mediterranean countries of cereals, meats, and milk products.

Estimation of changes in exports of cereals, meats, and milk products will be done using the CAPRI model. For fruits, vegetables and olive oil, available quantitative models are not sufficient to properly capture the complexity of the phenomena involved (many different products, various seasonal patterns, complex detailed trade regimes). Expert panels for the Mediterranean countries with substantial export potential will be used to complement modeling approaches done at the country level.